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15 Flashcards in this deck.
Global Capital Flows encompass the movement of financial resources across countries. These flows can be categorized into foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio investment, and other investments such as loans and banking capital. Understanding global capital flows is crucial as they affect a nation's balance of payments, influence exchange rates, and impact economic stability and growth.
Global capital flows are primarily divided into three components:
Several theories explain the mechanisms and effects of global capital flows:
Global capital flows have a direct impact on a country's real interest rates. When capital flows into a country, the increased demand for financial assets can drive up asset prices and lower real interest rates. Conversely, capital outflows can decrease asset prices and increase real interest rates. The relationship can be represented by the following equation:
$$r = \frac{1}{1 + \pi} (i - \pi)$$Where:
This equation illustrates how changes in nominal interest rates and inflation influence real interest rates, which in turn affect capital flows.
Understanding global capital flows involves several key equations and models:
Where:
This equation ensures that the expected returns on investments are equalized across countries, preventing arbitrage opportunities.
Where:
This represents the net amount of capital flowing into or out of a country.
Aspect | Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) | Portfolio Investment | Other Investments |
Definition | Long-term investment with significant control over foreign enterprises. | Investment in financial assets without control over operations. | Short-term capital movements like loans and deposits. |
Control | High; involves managerial or strategic decision-making. | Low; purely financial stake. | Minimal to none; focused on liquidity. |
Risk | Higher due to long-term commitment and involvement. | Moderate; subject to market volatility. | Higher volatility and liquidity risk. |
Impact on Host Country | Can lead to technology transfer and job creation. | May lead to financial market development. | Often results in short-term financial instability. |
1. **Use Mnemonics:** Remember FDI by thinking "FDI - Full Directional Investment" to recall its long-term and controlling nature.
2. **Stay Updated:** Keep abreast of current global events as they often influence capital flows and can provide real-world examples for exam questions.
3. **Practice Equations:** Regularly practice the IRP and real interest rate equations to ensure you can apply them accurately under exam conditions.
1. In 2022, global FDI reached over $1.5 trillion, showcasing the significant role of multinational corporations in shaping economies.
2. Portfolio investments can quickly reverse course, as seen during financial crises, leading to sudden capital outflows that destabilize economies.
3. Sovereign wealth funds, which manage national savings for investment purposes, are major players in global capital flows, influencing markets worldwide.
1. **Confusing FDI with Portfolio Investment:** Students often mistake FDI for portfolio investments. Remember, FDI involves control over foreign businesses, while portfolio investments do not.
2. **Ignoring the Impact of Exchange Rates:** Failing to account for how exchange rate fluctuations affect capital flows can lead to incomplete analyses.
3. **Overlooking Short-Term vs. Long-Term Flows:** Not distinguishing between the stability of FDI and the volatility of other investments can result in misunderstandings of economic stability.